Opinion poll of ABP News-CSDS for UP Election 2017

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First opinion poll for uttar pradesh is announced by ABP news-CSDS- Lokniti in 2017. The ABP news has conducted this opinion poll which was conducted in first week of December. As we know Election commission is about to announce the polling dates of UP and other 4 states. It is the first ever opinion poll for UP assembly election 2017.

Below are more details of latest opinion poll of ABP News-CSDS for up election 2017, do check out.

Opinion poll of ABP News-CSDS for UP Election 2017

Opinion poll of ABP News-CSDS
There are 4 major parties are going to fight up assembly election, BJP (Bhartiya janta party), SP (Samajwadi party), BSP (Bahujan samaj party) and INC (Congress).

Which party gets highest Seats?

  • BJP+  :- 129-139
  • SP :- 141-151
  • BSP :- 93-103
  • INC :- 13-19
  • Others: - 6-12.
As you can see, SP comes as biggest and single largest party of UP. While BJP comes at 2nd number, though both SP and BJP having just 10 seats of margin. While BSP is at 3rd number with even less than 100 seats. INC which is finding ground since 27 years has got only 13-19 seats only.

Voting Percentage wise Opinion Poll of UP

  • BJP+  :- 27%
  • SP :- 30%
  • BSP :- 22%
  • INC :- 8%
  • Others: - 13%.
SP is leading the percentage game also, while BJP trailing behind with 27% and BSP to get 22% vote share. While INC to get just 8% votes in upcoming election.

Caste Wise Vote share of political party

Other OBC
BJP:- 34% , SP:- 23%, BSP:- 20%, INC:- 10%
Upper Caste
BJP:- 55% , SP:- 12%, BSP:- 08%, INC:- 10%
Yadav Voters
BJP:- 14% , SP:- 75%, BSP:- 04%, INC:- 05%
Other Backward caste
BJP:- 13% , SP:- 16%, BSP:- 56%, INC:- 11%
Jatav Voters
BJP:- 08% , SP:- 07%, BSP:- 74%, INC:- 04%
Muslim Voters
BJP:- 09% , SP:- 54%, BSP:- 14%, INC:- 07%

Area wise Vote share of political parties

East UP
BJP:- 30% , SP:- 35%, BSP:- 18%
West UP
BJP:- 37% , SP:- 16%, BSP:- 12%.

Who is Biggest Face and Popular face of Chief minister in UP?

  • Akhilesh :- 28%
  • Mayawati :- 21%
  • Narendra Modi :-5%
  • Rajnath Singh :- 4%
  • Yogi Adityanath :- 4%
  • Rahul Gandhi :- 3%
  • Amit Shah :- 3%
  • Mulayam Singh Yadav :- 3%
  • Priyanka Gandhi :- 1%

Samajwadi party war

As you know, from last few days there is internal war going on between Akhilesh and Mulayam singh yadav in SP. Due to this there is some speculation that SP may splits in two parts and due to that, other political parties may get chance to win SP votes. So, ABP news has also asked few questions on SP splits, do check out.

What if Akhilesh-Mulayam Fought separately, Who gets how much seats?

  • SP (akhilesh) :- 82-92.
  • SP (Mulayam) :-9-15
  • BJP:- 158-168
  • BSP :- 110-120
  • Cong:- 14-20.
So, in case SP splits, direct benefit will go to BJP. They might even get majority too. While BSP to get some muslim vote’s benefit as well. While Congress stay unchanged. It also says that SP with akhilesh camp is too strong and may get good enough seats.

Whos works is more satisfied you?

  • Akhilsh: - 34%
  • Modi :- 32%
Clearly, Akhilesh is big winner here, defeating all anti-incumbency.

Who is responsible for Yadav Pariwar WAR

  • Akhilesh :- 6%
  • Shivpal :- 25%.
As you can see, the ABP news latest opinion poll says that there will be hung assembly. In this 4 corner fight, we predict that Congress will be wiped out. Demonetization will be big issue, and BSP the real fight is between SP and BJP. There might be chance that SP and congress make alliance, very much thing to happen.

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